Premier League · Regular Season - 6 · Sat 10 Oct 2026

Arsenal

W W W W L

2–1

Full time · HT 0–0

Leeds

W D D W D

Arsenal vs Leeds prediction & betting tips

Emirates Stadium, London · Referee Paul Tierney

Our tip

WON

Arsenal or draw

Double chance · 1X

1.10

Odds · Bet365

Model confidence90%

Win probability

45%

10%

ArsenalDrawLeeds

18+ · Odds change. Only stake what you can afford to lose.

Match preview

Arsenal arrive with 4 wins and 1 defeat from their last five league games (WWWWL), while Leeds have 2 wins and 3 draws (WDDWD). The prediction model rates Arsenal at 45%, the draw at 45% and Leeds at 10%. At home Arsenal score 2.5 and concede 0.5 goals per game; on the road Leeds score 1.0 and concede 0.5. The sides have met 10 times in our records. Our pick: Arsenal or draw at 1.10.

Odds

Bet365

Match result

Arsenal 1.38

Draw 5.00

Leeds 7.50

Double chance

1X 1.10

12 1.17

X2 3.00

Both teams to score

Yes 2.10

No 1.67

Total goals

Over 1.5 1.28

Under 1.5 3.75

Over 2.5 1.80

Under 2.5 2.00

Over 3.5 3.20

Under 3.5 1.36

Match events

36’ Ao Tanaka · Yellow Card
38’ Ethan Ampadu · Yellow Card
39’ Daniel Farke · Yellow Card
55’ James Justin · assist Gabriel Gudmundsson
59’ Tarik Muharemovic · Yellow Card
62’ Riccardo Calafiori · assist Ben White
63’ Ben White for Jurriën Timber
63’ Kai Havertz for Viktor Gyökeres
63’ Myles Lewis-Skelly for Bruno Guimarães
70’ Bruno Guimarães · assist Declan Rice
71’ Ao Tanaka for Harry Wilson
71’ Noah Okafor for Brenden Aaronson
78’ James Justin · Yellow Card
79’ James Justin for Lukas Nmecha
82’ Riccardo Calafiori for Piero Hincapié
84’ Martin Odegaard · Yellow Card
86’ Jayden Bogle for Jean Matteo Bahoya
86’ Nico Elvedi for Jaka Bijol
90’ Martin Odegaard for Mikel Merino

Lineups

Arsenal 4-2-3-1

1David RayaG
4B. WhiteD
15E. KonsaD
6Gabriel MagalhãesD
33R. CalafioriD
41D. RiceM
49M. Lewis-SkellyM
7B. SakaM
8M. ØdegaardM
20N. MaduekeM
29K. HavertzF

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Leeds 3-4-2-1

1J. TraffordG
24J. JustinD
30N. ElvediD
5T. MuharemovićD
2J. BogleM
4E. AmpaduM
22A. TanakaM
3G. GudmundssonM
18A. StachM
19N. OkaforM
9D. Calvert-LewinF

Coach: D. Farke

Arsenal

Team comparison

Leeds

57%Form43%

53%Attack47%

43%Defence57%

68%Goals model32%

100%Head-to-head0%

89%Goals11%

62%Overall38%

This season

Arsenal	Stat	Leeds
5	Played	5
4	Wins	2
0	Draws	3
1	Defeats	0
1.6	Goals scored per game	1.4
0.8	Goals conceded per game	0.6
2.5	Scored per game (home / away)	1.0
0.5	Conceded per game (home / away)	0.5
3	Clean sheets	2
1	Failed to score	1
4	Longest winning run	1

Arsenal

W W W W L

Form · last 580%

Attack · last 567%

Defence · last 567%

Leeds

W D D W D

Form · last 560%

Attack · last 558%

Defence · last 575%

Head-to-head

31 Jan 2026 Leeds 0–4 Arsenal
23 Aug 2025 Arsenal 5–0 Leeds
01 Apr 2023 Arsenal 4–1 Leeds
16 Oct 2022 Leeds 0–1 Arsenal
08 May 2022 Arsenal 2–1 Leeds
18 Dec 2021 Leeds 1–4 Arsenal