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Serie A · Regular Season - 6 · Sat 10 Oct 2026

Genoa

L L L D L

2–1

Full time · HT 2–0

Fiorentina

L L L W D

Genoa vs Fiorentina prediction & betting tips

Luigi Ferraris, Genoa · Referee Fabio Maresca

Our tip

LOST

Fiorentina to win

Away win · 2

2.25

Odds · Bet365

Model confidence45%

Win probability

10%
45%
45%
GenoaDrawFiorentina

18+ · Odds change. Only stake what you can afford to lose.

Match preview

Genoa arrive with 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last five league games (LLLDL), while Fiorentina have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (LLLWD). The prediction model rates Genoa at 10%, the draw at 45% and Fiorentina at 45%. At home Genoa score 0.7 and concede 2.3 goals per game; on the road Fiorentina score 2.0 and concede 3.0. The sides have met 10 times in our records. Our pick: Fiorentina to win at 2.25.

Odds

Bet365

Match result

Genoa 3.30
Draw 3.25
Fiorentina 2.25

Double chance

1X 1.62
12 1.33
X2 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes 1.80
No 1.95

Total goals

Over 1.5 1.33
Under 1.5 3.40
Over 2.5 2.10
Under 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 3.75
Under 3.5 1.28

Match events

  1. 7’ Milutin Osmajić · assist Mikael Ellertsson
  2. 15’ Luca Ranieri · Yellow Card
  3. 15’ Junior Messias · assist Milutin Osmajić
  4. 21’ Christ Inao Oulaï · Yellow Card
  5. 45’ Christ Inao Oulaï for Alieu Njie
  6. 45’ Luca Ranieri for Viery
  7. 57’ Junior Messias for Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira
  8. 57’ Stephan El Shaarawy for Samuel Wiafe
  9. 60’ Viery · Yellow Card
  10. 65’ Beto for Mateo Pellegrino
  11. 66’ Sebastian Otoa for Alessandro Marcandalli
  12. 73’ Johan Vásquez · Own Goal
  13. 73’ Hamed Junior Traorè · Yellow Card
  14. 80’ Álex Jiménez for Domilson Dodo
  15. 81’ Wilfried Gnonto for Pedro Goncalves
  16. 81’ Mikael Ellertsson for Stefano Sabelli
  17. 81’ Kingsley Ehizibue for David Puczka
  18. 84’ Johan Vásquez · Yellow Card
  19. 85’ Samuel Wiafe · Yellow Card
  20. 90+1’ Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira · Yellow Card
  21. 90+5’ Stefano Sabelli · Yellow Card

Lineups

Genoa 3-4-2-1

  • 1J. BijlowG
  • 34S. OtoaD
  • 5L. ØstigårdD
  • 22J. VásquezD
  • 3K. EhizibueM
  • 32M. FrendrupM
  • 25H. TraorèM
  • 77M. EllertssonM
  • 10Junior MessiasM
  • 92S. El ShaarawyM
  • 18M. OsmajićF

Coach: D. De Rossi

Fiorentina 4-2-3-1

  • 43David de GeaG
  • 20Álex JiménezD
  • 3R. DrăgușinD
  • 6L. RanieriD
  • 21ValdeD
  • 27C. NdourM
  • 44N. FagioliM
  • 30Franco MastantuonoM
  • 42C. Inao OulaïM
  • 29W. GnontoM
  • 23BetoF

Coach: P. Vanoli

Genoa

Team comparison

Fiorentina
20%Form80%
33%Attack67%
55%Defence45%
29%Goals model71%
25%Head-to-head75%
40%Goals60%
34%Overall66%

This season

GenoaStatFiorentina
5Played5
0Wins1
1Draws1
4Defeats3
0.6Goals scored per game1.2
2.0Goals conceded per game2.4
0.7Scored per game (home / away)2.0
2.3Conceded per game (home / away)3.0
0Clean sheets0
2Failed to score2
0Longest winning run1

Genoa

L L L D L
Form · last 57%
Attack · last 525%
Defence · last 517%

Fiorentina

L L L W D
Form · last 527%
Attack · last 550%
Defence · last 50%

Head-to-head

  • 10 May 2026 Fiorentina 0–0 Genoa
  • 09 Nov 2025 Genoa 2–2 Fiorentina
  • 02 Feb 2025 Fiorentina 2–1 Genoa
  • 31 Oct 2024 Genoa 0–1 Fiorentina
  • 15 Apr 2024 Fiorentina 1–1 Genoa
  • 19 Aug 2023 Genoa 1–4 Fiorentina